The Road to a Democratic House Runs Through Pennsylvania
9 of Pennsylvania's 18 Seats are in Play!
In less than three months, this fall’s midterm elections will decide whether Congress can be a check on Donald Trump. The stakes couldn’t be higher. Democrats need to flip 23 seats nationwide to capture a majority in the House. Local and national polls indicate that at least 18 of those seats are considered toss-ups by pollsters and nearly a third of those seats are in Pennsylvania.
We have a unique opportunity this year in Pennsylvania due to recent court victories, which led to congressional redistricting across the state. The democratic majority in the Pennsylvania Supreme Court threw out the GOP-gerrymandered maps in January. The court found that the old maps greatly disadvantaged the Democrats, packing blue voters into just 5 of 18 districts despite outnumbering Republicans statewide. The U.S. Supreme Court decided not to intervene, and the maps have been upheld, for now. This opportunity may not be available in 2020 due to legal challenges in the future.
Out of 18 seats in Pennsylvania, 9 are in play. Democrats have two incumbents to protect, Rep. Conor Lamb and Rep. Matt Cartwright, but also stand to pick up 3-7 additional seats. We should be able to pick up victories in the 4th, 5th, and 6th districts. Strong opportunities also exist in the 10th and 16th districts.
By far, the most competitive race is in Pennsylvania’s 7th district, which pits Democrat Susan Wild against Marty Nothstein. At this point in the cycle, Susan Wild needs our support now to get her message out and compete for every vote.
Recent trends favor Democrats, but this is no time for complacency.