The Winds Blow Blue

New polling numbers suggest strong headwinds for Democrats in Minnesota and Michigan

Three new polls tracking races for Governor and U.S. Senate indicate good news for Democratic candidates in two of Blue Impact Network's targeted states. As CNN reports, polls from NBC/Marist in Michigan, Minnesota, and Wisconsin are generating new enthusiasm for potential electoral gains this fall:

In Minnesota, the Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary for governor is heating up, with Lori Swanson leading Tim Walz by four percentage points. Tim Pawlenty will likely be the Republican nominee, as he's beating his challenger -- Jeff Johnson -- 51% to 32%. For Senate in Minnesota, Democratic incumbent Sen. Tina Smith is beating Karin Housley by 14 percentage points. CNN rates the race as likely Democrat. 
Both Senate seats are up for grabs in Minnesota, with Democratic Sen. Amy Klobuchar's race rated as solidly Democratic.

With Democratic Senate candidates looking strong in Minnesota, more attention can be focused on the race for Governor and other key battles identified by Blue Impact Network (CLICK HERE for a rundown of Minnesota). Republican Tim Pawlenty appears to have a strong lead ahead of the August 7 Primary Election. Lori Swanson and Tim Walz are running a close race in the battle for the Democratic nomination; both would be strong General Election candidates who will benefit from the work of well-funded state level organizations.

The NBC/Marist poll shows good news in Michigan as well:

Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow is expected to win her re-election against either John James or Sandy Pensler -- leading both by at least 15 percentage points, according to the poll.If November's gubernatorial election in Michigan results in a showdown between Gretchen Whitmer, the Democrat, and Bill Schuette, the Republican, Whitmer is expected to win, according to the poll.

Michigan Democrat Gretchen Whitmer is a top priority for 2018. If the results of this poll are accurate, Whitmer should be able to win the Governor's race provided that she has sufficient resources available to her campaign (along with well-funded state organizations). CLICK HERE for a rundown of Michigan.

Polling results from NBC/Marist also confirm our excitement about key Congressional races in Michigan and Minnesota:

All three states show President Donald Trump's approval rating underwater. The lowest rating is in Minnesota, where 37% approve of the job Trump's doing as President and about half disapprove. These possible battleground states also would rather have a Congress controlled by the Democrats, with 45% in Michigan, 47% in Wisconsin and 48% in Minnesota saying they would prefer that to the current Republican-controlled Congress.

Voters in Michigan and Minnesota say they want to see Democrats in control of the House of Representatives in 2019. In both states, President Trump's low approval ratings could be a significant drag on Republican efforts at maintaining their House majority.

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